(Tom Galvin) By all accounts, tomorrow night will mark the end of Democratic rule of the House and sweep John Boehner into the Speaker’s Chair. Many pundits compare the upcoming President Obama/Boehner dynamic to the odd relationship that existed between Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich after the GOP seized the House in 1994.
And they couldn’t be more wrong. Obama-Boehner couldn’t be more different than Clinton-Gingrich. In 1994, Gingrich swept into office as a de factor Prime Minister, full of bluster and bravado. Clinton rose to the occasion, and in a perverse way, they were perfect for each other. They were two imperfect, dysfunctional people whose overwhelming need was to be the center of attention. They were Frick to Frack.
Gingrich loved the attention, whether it was on him and his political views, his kooky mother or gay sister, as long as the spotlight was bright. Clinton seemed to need, yearn for, drama that would cast him in the role as leading man. As a political reporter, I covered both men, and I was startled they were essentially the same person: two men who did what they wanted, not necessarily what they should.
Obama and Boehner couldn’t be more different. Boehner learned from Gingrich’s mistakes – was actually fired from a Leadership post under Newt – and worked his way back. While Gingrich was a New Age speaker full of ideas, Boehner is as uncomplicated a politician as you will find. Boehner is not a self-help book kind of guy. He sees the world in a straight line – you get there by going from here to there. He won’t be a Prime Minister, won’t try to be the Second President.
And “No Drama” Obama isn’t Clinton, in need of every day pulling a Sally Field – “you like me, right now, you like me!” He’ll cruise on, paying as little attention to Boehner as he can. Sure, they’ll have lunch in the next week or two, but Obama is a true believer and the mere loss of 60 or so House seats won’t convince him otherwise.
So, we won’t have any Barack-John debates in the near future, like we did with Clinton and Gingrich. And Boehner won’t be the lightning rod that Newt was. And Obama won’t project an inner Clinton and Dick Morris (triangulation) his way out of the political fix the pundits on Tuesday night will sure say he’s in.
And you know what? The country is better off that this isn’t Newt-Bill II.
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